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Mortgage Term Review


GoMax content Team
Aug 19, 2010 - 12:14:58 PM
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  Why Is Your "Term" Important?

There's an old saying: "The lowest rate will save you hundreds, but the wrong term can cost you thousands."   

Put another way: your mortgage term can have a far greater impact on interest cost than the up-front interest rate. That’s because your term determines the length of time you're locked into a rate. That, in turn, affects how long you'll overpay or underpay, relative to the other available options.

The wrong term can get mighty expensive if interest rates deviate from your assumptions, or if you need to break your mortgage early. It therefore pays to make the right choice from the get-go.

Remember: Almost anyone can find a low rate by browsing the Internet. Picking the right term on the other hand isn't so easy. Take some time, get good advice, and nail the right term the first time. Below you'll find bite-sized term reviews to get you started.

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Popular Fixed Terms…

Here's a breakdown of the most common mortgage terms:

  • 1-year Fixed:  If rates rise as economists expect (see:  mortgage rate forecast), then a deeply discounted 1-year term is mathematically not a bad option to at least consider as an alternative to a variable. At the end of the term, you can re visit the current market trends and have the flexibility to adapt your plan.  The down side is if rates go up you will be facing an increase in your cost.
  • 2-year Fixed:  Rates on two-year terms aren't currently low enough to warrant much consideration, relative to a 1- or 3-year fixed.
  • 3-year Fixed:  There are currently some very aggressive pricing packages for 3 year terms that make this definitely worth a consideration.   As always, the trade-off with a 3-year term is more risk in years 4 and 5.   But if the price is right, it is a great option.   The 3 year term also lines up fairly well with the US election and interest rates historically have been in the low half of interest rate cycles during an election year.
  • 4-year Fixed:  At today's rates, 4-year mortgages are not big sellers unless you plan to break your mortgage in four years. (Remember, however, that people do refinance every 3.5 years on average.)
  • 5-year Fixed:  Insurance rarely comes cheap, and five years of rate security can cost you up front but if it allows you to sleep at night it’s worth the price.  If rates rise more than expected, this conservative play could pay off, but if rates stay low as many predict it could cost you.

Longer Fixed Terms…

  • 7-year Fixed:   The spread between 5- and 7-year terms is about one point, which makes seven year terms almost useless from a mathematical perspective.  If you’re that concerned about risk, take a 10-year term for 40 basis points more, and get three more years of rate protection.
  • 10-year Fixed:   The decade mortgage is now available just above 5%. Some consider that a pittance for 10 years of knowing your payments. What’s more, some 10-year terms let you out after 5 years without paying a dreaded  IRD  penalty. On the other hand, for a 10-year to prevail, 5-year fixed rates would have to soar over 3.64 percentage points by the time your 5-year term matured. We haven't seen any reputable analysts calling on long-term rates to rise that much in the next 60 months. What's more, history has shown that 9 out of 10 times, 10-year fixed terms cost more than consecutive 5-year fixed terms.

Variable Terms…

  • 5-year Closed Variable:  Don't let "prime - 0.20%" advertised bank rates fool you there are better rates today just ask your mortgage professional.

Remember this though:  Prime rate will continue to climb but the unknown is at what pace.  Most people taking variables are betting that prime won't exceed 5% in the next five years. (5% prime is the rough "breakeven" point between today's variable and 5-year fixed terms).

If you plan to convert your variable to a fixed rate, taking a 3-year fixed term from the outset might be a better plan. This way you won't need to worry about market timing, and you won't be stuck with your lender's conversion rate when locking in.

  • 3-year Variable:  3-year terms let you renegotiate sooner--which is good if you might need to break your mortgage in 3 years, or if you think variable discounts will improve in 36 months. Traditionally you don’t get as aggressive a rate on the 3 year variable as you would get on the 5 year.
  • 1-year Variable:  With 1-year fixed rates below 1-year variable rates, why bother with a 1-year variable?
  • 5-year Capped Variable:  Again you are paying a large premium for security, I think there are better options.
  • 5-year Open Variable:  Open mortgages are temporary solutions, and you'll pay a premium for their flexibility. Remember, closed variables are portable, and they only have a 3-month interest penalty. Even if you break a closed variable in seven months and pay the penalty, it's usually cheaper than taking an open...at today's rates anyhow.
  • Variable payment options:   Even though your rate is going to fluctuate in a variable mortgage, it does not mean that your payment has to?   One of the most powerful money saving systems I have ever used is as simple as fixing your variable rate mortgage payment at or even a little higher than the 5 year fixed rate equivalent.   By doing so you take out most of the risk and stress of a conventional variable mortgage.   For example if your minimum payment on a variable mortgage was $425 per month but instead you set your payment at the 5 year fixed rate $525 per month, the additional $100 per month would go towards paying down your mortgage faster saving you thousand in interest.   Now, even if the variable rates did climb higher than the original 5 year fixed rate, you would be paying interest on a smaller amount of money.   The net savings can be huge and it’s simple and definitely worth considering.

In Summary

The term you choose is very important and when choosing the term you must take into account your future plans and needs as well as your appetite for risk.  Some people go to Vegas and bet the farm while others invest in T Bills and GIC’s, so the term and product need to match your personality as well.  There is no one product fits all solution because everyone is different and has different needs and wants so it is important to deal with a mortgage professional that can assist you in getting the best mortgage for your unique situation.

 

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The Disclaimer:   There are a million and one exceptions to everything above and market conditions change almost daily.  Therefore, do yourself a favour, and consult a mortgage professional for a current comparison of the options. Remember, these opinions are just that. They are  not recommendations or advice. Qualifying is always contingent upon approved credit. All information is based on present market conditions, current economist forecasts (we do not predict rates), and today's rates and expectations--each of which may change drastically without notice!


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